The fund manager's mouse warehouse, said that the capital preservation has become a huge loss, and the fund is pitted to the [fund exposure station]! The credit card was stolen without any reason, the bank deposit became insurance, and the financial management was cheated, please poke [Financial Exposure Desk]!
Original title: The elite was beaten. I didn't expect Trump to be the president of the United States, but I didn't even think of it. . . Xu Jiayin is actually the biggest winner
[Introduction] I am a New York real estate developer, how did I run to Washington as president?
China Fund reported Taylor's finishing, comprehensive data treasure (ID: shujubao2015)
If you often look at the US election through the official website of major US newspapers. Since the election, Trump has been criticized by almost all mainstream American media. For example, CNN, The New York Times, The Washington Post, and the Huffington Post, you will definitely think that Hillary will win the position of the US president.
But if you look at Weibo and watch Twitter on your face, you will hear a lot of voices that support Trump.
Some netizens have even written such a paragraph: I heard that someone recently caught a big fish in the river in Michigan, USA, and found a note in the fish belly...
A while ago, Hillary and Trump published a blog post on Facebook at the same time. The fund’s view of Hillary’s forwarding volume is not a level with Trump. The so-called polling company should eventually go bankrupt.
There have been many changes in the style of the US election. Initially, as Jeb Bush announced his candidacy, everyone expected this to be a US version of the Bush family's dynasty politics against the Clintons. Who wants American real estate tycoon Trump as an outsider to kill, at first thought to be only a gag, as he became popular all the way, won the Republican presidential nomination, and then succeeded in winning the election, from the accompanying run to the laughter to the end, the play changes history.
At the moment, the happiest squad is the Republican Party. Trump’s political platform for building a high wall in the US-Mexico border and temporarily suspending Muslim immigrants, coupled with his “irritating†language style, made him not to be seen in the party. The Republican Party did not believe that he could become president and even voted for Hillary.
The original plan, after Hillary took office, focused on cultivating the backbone electors four years later, while holding the seats in both houses. But now, happiness comes too suddenly: the president plus the Congress are all in hand, which seems to be the most beautiful moment of the Republican Party in recent decades.
The Huffington Post said that it is still unbelievable. . . Call it. . . Nightmare
This happened really. . .
The elite media has never been so embarrassed, never been beaten so swollen.
The speech delivered after Trump’s victory is as follows
Thank you, thank you very much. Sorry to have kept you waiting. It’s a tricky job, it’s tricky. Thank you again.
I just received a call from Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and she congratulated us. This is about our cause and our victory, and I also pay tribute to her and her family, who have persisted in this hard battle.
I mean, she is really trying to fight. Hillary Clinton worked tirelessly in this long-lasting election campaign, and at the same time, we owe her a gratitude for her experience in serving the country.
I sincerely thank her. Now, it is time for the United States to reunite from a split wound and gather together. I want to say to all Republicans, Democrats and independents that it is time for us to stand up again as Americans.
This moment is here. I promise to every citizen on this land that I will be a president who serves every American, which is especially important to me. For those who didn't support me in the past, I need your guidance and assistance now, let us unite this great country together. As I said from the beginning, this is not just a campaign, but a great and unparalleled sport composed of millions of hard-working men and women. They love their country and they want a better and brighter future.
This movement belongs to all Americans, Americans from all races, religions, backgrounds and beliefs. They expect our government to serve the people and hope that their expectations will not fail.
We work together to begin this urgent task: rebuilding our country and reshaping the American dream. I have been in the business world for a lifetime, and I have seen projects from all over the world and the potential for undeveloped people in the crowd.
This is what I want to do for the country now. This country has endless potential. I have learned about our country so much that she has infinite potential. This will be a very wonderful thing. Every American will have the opportunity to realize the full potential he or she has. Men and women who have been forgotten in this country will no longer be ignored.
We will repair our inland cities and rebuild highways, bridges, tunnels, airports, schools and hospitals. We will rebuild the infrastructure and, more importantly, these reconstruction projects will bring jobs to millions of people. At the same time, we can finally take care of those loyal and great veterans. During this 18-month campaign, I met many of them.
It is one of my greatest honours to be able to experience this election with them.
Our veterans are unbeatable. We will launch a project to make the country's economy grow and rejuvenate. I will dig out the ideas and talents we have, and we want to appeal to the best and brightest people to make the most of their talents for the benefit of all of us. This is what we can do. We have an excellent economic plan. We are able to double the economic growth rate and become the most powerful economy in the world. At the same time, we will have a good relationship with other countries if they are willing to get along with us. We will do it. We will build friendly relations with these countries and we will form a great friendship with them. No dream is too ambitious, no challenge is something we can't overcome. Our future is in our control.
The United States will always move toward the best of the future, and we will reshape the destiny of our country and pursue the most ambitious dreams. We must do this. We will once again dream for our country and hope to win the dream of success and success.
I want to say to people all over the world that when we put the interests of the United States first, we will treat everyone fairly.
We seek common interests, not hostility, with all other countries and people; seek cooperation, not conflict. Now I want to use this moment to thank those who have helped me, they helped me to achieve this historic victory tonight.
First of all, I want to thank my parents, who are watching me in heaven at the moment. They are all great people, and I learned a lot from them. They are doing very well in every aspect. They are great parents. I also want to thank my sisters, Marianna and Elizabeth. They came here with me tonight. Where are they? They are somewhere in the audience, they are all shy people.
I also want to thank my brother and friend Robert. Where is he?
My sister and brother Robert, they should appear on the stage. But it doesn't matter, they are all great.
I also want to thank my brother Fred, who has died. He is also a very good person. He is very good. I feel very honored to be a member of this outstanding family.
I have excellent brothers and sisters, great parents. I also want to thank Melania, Don, Ivanka, Eric, Tiffany and Byron. I love you, I thank you, thank you for your company in the past few hours. The process of waiting for results is really difficult.
This is a very hard business. The election process was difficult and disgusting. So I am very grateful to my family. They are really great. Thank you all, thank you all. Laura, the work you have done is amazing. Vanessa, thank you. Thank you very much. What a great team.
You have always given me unbelievably firm support. I want to tell you that we have a huge team. You know, there have always been people who claim that our team is small. We have a lot of them. Take a look at these members of our team and see all of them.
On the stage are Kelly Ann, Chris, Rudy, Steve and David. There are many talented people standing on the stage. I want to tell you that this team is really unique.
I want to especially thank our former mayor, Rudy Giuliani. He is great and very good. He went to the states with us to publicize and meet together. He never changed. Where is Rudy, where is he?
Governor Chris Christie, you are incredible. Thank you, Chris. He is the first person, the first senator, the first mayor, an important politician. I tell you that he is very respected in Washington because he is as smart as you, Senator Jeff Seising. Where is Jeff? Another great person, a very tough opponent, it is not easy to win him, not easy. Who is that? Is it the mayor Rudy?
Come to the stage. He is really a good friend of mine. But I tell you that he was my competitor when he first met him. He is a person who confronts the Democratic Party. Dr. Ben Carson. Where is this? Mike Huckabee is also here, somewhere in the audience. He is great. Mike and his family came with Sarah, thank you. General Mike Flynn, where is Mike? There is also General Kellogg. There are more than 200 generals and generals who support my campaign, many of whom are special. We have 22 people who have received the Medal of Honor.
There is a very special person who once reported that we are not. I have nothing to do with him. He is an incredible star. How can you guess? Let me tell you about Raines. I said, Raines, I know, I will know. Look at the people here. I know that Raines is a superstar. I said, Raines, unless we win, they can't call you a superstar. Just like the purebred horse of the Secretariat. He will never fail when he is flying on the runway of the Bemon Championships.
Oh, this is your moment, you are doing a great job. God, don't be like this, come here and say something.
Really good person! Cooperation with the RNC (Republican National Convention) is very important to our success. I want to say that I have met many good people.
I would also like to thank these secret security personnel. They are strong, intelligent and sensitive. I want to say that I can't dare to trouble them. When I want to get close to the crowd and the crowds are waving, they will always open me and put me in the seat. But they are all great people, I want to thank them.
There are also law enforcement officers in New York, they are also tonight. They are great, but sometimes they are not appreciated, we thank them. They said that this victory is a historic event. If this victory is really historic, we must make good grades and I promise that I will not let you down. We will achieve great results. I am very much looking forward to being your president. I hope that in the next two years, three years, and possibly eight years, you can evaluate us like this: Many of you have done a great job for the people. I hope that you will say that we make you proud, I can only - thank you -
I can only say that after the election, our work has just begun. We will begin to serve the American people right away, and we will make achievements to make you proud of your president. You will be very proud. Once again, I am honored to be your president.
It was a magical night tonight. The past two years have been very exciting. I love this country. Thank you.
thank you very much. Thank you also Mike Burns.
First, Xu Jiayin has been ambushed eight years ago!
The fund is frank, but actually made a title party. The thing about Xu Jiayin and Trump is just a tidbit of today's US election.
Eight years ago, it was allied with Trump!
If the line is long enough, ask if you are not satisfied!
Evergrande helped the women's volleyball team to choose Lang Ping
I chose Lippi for the men’s football team.
Also helped the United States to choose Trump.
Xu Jiayin's autobiography "How did I change the world?"
Vanke had a daily limit today, the reason was found
Trump's daughter is called Ivanka = Avanco
Evergrande holds Vanke shares or exceeds 10%→→
Evergrande has already cooperated with Trump →→
Trump wins US election →→
Trump's daughter is called Ivanka Ai Vanke →→
Vanke A has a daily limit. . .
Xu Jiayin uses the capital advantage to short stocks
The leader of the China Insurance Regulatory Commission smiled slightly: don't be so naughty next time.
The artistic behavior of A-share investors does not stop there.
Trump & Chuan Da Zhisheng
Without any benefit, it should rise loudly
Hillary & Xiyi
No bad, limit, and death!
Second, Wall Street has collapsed.
It is too exciting to implement the big ups and downs of life. This line is suitable for the elite of Wall Street today.
The first two days, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation has said that it will once again be determined that it will not sue Hillary on the mail gate incident. It is considered by Wall Street to temporarily exclude a huge uncertainty factor. US stocks ushered in a skyrocketing.
But today, when Trump became president, Wall Street immediately panicked. Global stock markets fell sharply and risk aversion was high. The three major US stock indexes pointed to a meltdown in the two, and then the decline narrowed after the situation became clear.
After experiencing a "flash crash" and "diving", the market began to choose the bottom. This time, from the beginning of the decline to the recovery of more than half of the decline, the market panic lasted about 7 hours.
The market panic road map is as follows
At 9:30 in the morning, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index opened sharply higher – continuing the previous day's trend. At that time, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation announced that it would not sue Hillary. The European and American stock markets and Hong Kong stock markets rose on Monday. As a result, the momentum of the US election is gradually getting worse after the invoice...
Nearly 10 o'clock in Beijing, Trump maintained a lead of more than 1 point in key states in Florida and Ohio, and the global market began to respond.
After 11:00 Beijing time, Hillary became backward in the original key swing state of North Carolina, and the insolvency in Florida and Ohio was basically hopeless, and the global market began to react extremely violently.
After that, Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures both fell, which is the most intense reaction I have seen since I observed US stocks in recent years.
At the same time, the HSI fell more than 4%.
The Nikkei index fell more than 5%.
On the other hand, spot gold rose 4%, refreshing the high since September 30 to $1326.35 per ounce.
In the afternoon, the global market panic has eased. Many people accepted the reality that Trump wants to be the US president. The Hang Seng Index closed down nearly 500 points, down 2.16%. The downside S&P 500 futures index also rose from the daily limit. In fact, the time to fall by 5% is relatively short.
At the close, the Asia-Pacific market fell, but not so scary.
Third, how to do in the market, how to do?
The short-term logic should look like this:
Trump wins: the stock market falls and gold rises.
Hillary won: the stock market rose and the dollar stabilized.
Even the world's largest hedge fund, Bridgewater, also wrote a letter to investors, saying:
The report said that if Trump wins the election, the stock market in other regions will also fall. It is expected that European stocks will fall by 10.8%, Japanese stocks will fall by 9%, and China's stock market will fall by 11.4%.
And if Hillary wins the election, the boost to the stock markets in these regions will be low single digits. Trump’s victory in the election was even greater because his chances of being elected were now lower (have been beaten).
In other markets, Bridgewater is expected to:
"If Trump wins, the euro will rise 4.9% against the dollar, and if Hillary wins it will fall 1.1%.
If Trump wins, the Mexican peso will plummet 13.1%, and if Hillary wins it will rise 2.9%.
If Trump wins, the yen rises 6.2%, and if Hillary wins it will fall 1.4%.
If Trump wins, gold rises 8.6%, and if Hillary wins it falls 1.9%.
If Trump wins, crude oil falls 2.9%, and if Hillary wins, it falls 0.6%. â€
But what the fund wants to tell everyone is that there is no need to panic. When the British Brexit, the British stock market fell very badly, and when Europe really took off, it rose 15%+ in the past few months.
And just now, the US stock market opened, very stable.
Fund Jun today saw that various fund companies generally recommend gold, which means that Trump does not follow the routine, and the uncertainty in the future will increase greatly. It is better to buy gold in troubled times.
You can take a look at today's Trump Concept Fund, which is very good.
The Qianhai Open Source Teacher has a fund that is also very fierce. At the end of the third quarter, there are six major stocks, and today there are six daily limit. Gorgeous gold stocks.
However, the fund must remind that this global stock market panic will last for almost seven hours. These gold funds will not be able to rise tomorrow.
Gambling is sauce purple. If you ambush ahead of time, congratulations, if you know later, buy it tomorrow, I wish you good luck.
Gold is not necessarily safe, and good companies can cross the bulls and bears. The market has fallen more and there are stages of opportunities. Japan has lost N years, and several industries in the pharmaceutical segment still far outperform the Nikkei index by dozens of times. Looking for a good business, good company price, no matter what the world changes, is the eternal truth of making money.
Judging from the large fluctuations in the global capital markets, apart from the evolution into the subprime mortgage crisis, other eventual effects will not last for a long time and will not change the trajectory of the stock market.
Of course, for US stocks, it may exceed the accidents of many elites, and the possible impact will not stop for a while. (Think about this background: 5,200 of the top six banks in the United States donated money to Hillary or its party. Opponent Sanders, only 26 people donated to Trump.)
For A-shares, the impact is not that big. The biggest impact is the area of ​​capital flows. Trump said that if he wins the election, he will raise interest rates soon, which will have a great impact on global capital flows and accelerate the return of the dollar. . However, the US president cannot order the Fed to raise interest rates... In addition, the slogan before the stage of the election and the practice after taking office are sometimes different.
Another major impact is on China's export industry, Trump claims to impose punitive tariffs on China, etc. Many people worry that the United States will return to conservatism and trade protection. For the same reason, the slogan before the stage of taking office and the practice after taking office are sometimes two different things. After the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, almost every candidate of the opposition party will claim that the current policy is too weak for China, etc., and the result will be a realistic approach after taking office. After all, the relationship between competition and cooperation among big powers is a general trend.
Trump is a businessman, and his work is pragmatic. The basic set is the middle and lower class people and represents the transformative power of the United States. It is precisely because he broke the various traditions and political black boxes that he came to the end without the support of the senior leaders of the Republican tradition. From this point of view, the billionaire is taking the anti-elite line, he is a person and the whole The Democratic Party and the Republican traditional elite are running for election. Even the elites in the Republican Party are not allowed. From this perspective, the United States has entered a new social cycle, the cycle of anti-traditional elite politics, and this has never been politically experienced. An entrepreneur who has not been a chief executive or a senator has been elected president in the situation that almost the mainstream media in the United States does not support him. It is also the most typical event in the current trend of flattening and new media.
The volatility of the US dollar may not end temporarily. The impact on the global capital market will continue to be observed in the near future. However, the negative correlation between Trump and the stock market is whether it will be a new watershed after being elected. It should be re-observed. Because who is the president has always been against the market! After the US market adapts to the new president, the volatility caused is over. On the other hand, the correlation between US stocks and A-shares is not high, but we should pay attention to the fluctuations in the price of the US dollar and major assets. The dollar falls and the gold rise is a typical logical relationship.
The most turbulent moments have passed - meaning that it will not be turbulent, but that the US stock index futures, like today, will fluctuate as much as the fluctuations. It is difficult for the market to appear in terms of the impact of this incident. The market will continue to fluctuate, but the most emotional moments have passed.
2016 will definitely go down in history. From the Brexit to the US general election, the conservative right-wing Jedi counterattacks, but at this time the fund's inner heart is complicated, because it is likely to be forced to the end of the desperate rightist final battle and return to the light, the historical wheel will not stop, Then the conflicts of various cultures, classes, and ideas will inevitably intensify. Not only the financial market, the global volatility will increase substantially, and the "Great Flood" will wash away this era.
Is the global financial market really ready for this long-term challenge? Judging from the market performance on the eve of the British referendum on June 23 and the eve of the US election, everyone is still making a prosperous and stable dream.
So now, start betting.
Enter [Sina Finance and Economics Unit] Discussion
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